Ought to You Comply with NVDA’s Funding?

By this level, the potential of generative synthetic intelligence has led to a dramatic worth enhance for a lot of AI shares. A type of shares, SoundHound AI (Nasdaq: SOUN), has seen its inventory run virtually 400% YTD. This occurred after Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA) disclosed that it owned shares in SoundHound. Many traders is perhaps tempted to purchase SOUN inventory simply because Nvidia did. However, you shouldn’t let your self fall into this entice.

On this article, I’ll break down why you need to keep away from SOUN inventory in the interim.

What’s SoundHound AI?

SoundHound AI is a pacesetter in voice AI conversational applied sciences. It presents full options and particular person elements that assist firms create distinctive voice assistants. It’s voice assistants are primarily utilized by automotive and quick meals firms. SoundHound went public in 2022 in the course of the peak of the SPAC-craze. Since then, SOUN inventory is down a complete of 41%. 

SoundHound’s Final 3 Quarters

The very first thing I all the time do when analyzing a inventory is look at its monetary statements. This instantly tells you if the corporate is worthwhile or not. Listed below are SoundHound’s final 3 quarters:

• December 2023

• September 2023

• June 2023

SOUN inventory may look rosy solely wanting on the share will increase in income. This snapshot makes it look like SoundHound’s income is rising handsomely every quarter. However, income progress doesn’t matter as a lot when the corporate is persistently posting hefty losses.

SoundHound has by no means come near turning a revenue (at the very least not anytime not too long ago). Once you have a look at the previous few years, the outlook solely will get worse. Over the previous 5 years, SoundHound has routinely misplaced greater than twice as a lot cash because it makes.

These losses is perhaps OK if SoundHound was in “startup mode.” In different phrases, investing all a reimbursement into the corporate and rising shortly. However, SoundHound was based in 2005. So, it needs to be nicely out of startup mode by now.

As if these losses weren’t dangerous sufficient, Capybara Analysis recenty revealed a scathing quick report on SoundHound AI.

A Scathing Brief Report by Capybara Analysis

This report is a part of the rationale why SOUN inventory has misplaced 50% off its all-time excessive. I learn the complete report (which was fairly lengthy as they’d numerous detrimental issues to say) and pulled out a few of the highlights:

• Manipulating monetary statements: Capybara alleges that SoundHound manipulates its monetary statements to look extra worthwhile than they’re. For instance, the corporate has been recognized to drag ahead income for merchandise that they haven’t even began engaged on but. They’ve additionally handled one-time cancellation charges (paid by purchasers) as “product income” to assist enhance their margins. 

• Shedding main purchasers: In 2022, SoundHound was very boastful of its prime purchasers in its 10k submitting. However, in 2023, SoundHound didn’t point out any purchasers by title. This suggests that the corporate most likely misplaced its prime purchasers. Not signal.

• Points submitting constant updates: SoundHound has usually filed its accounting paperwork late and regularly revises them after the very fact. In 2023, it additionally used the auditor Armanino LLP to edit its books. This is similar auditor that FTX used. Not good firm to maintain. 

Capybara’s report provided rather a lot to soak up. However, that is additionally simply the evaluation of only one quick vendor. Brief sellers are mistaken on a regular basis. So, we even have to think about that Nvidia, one of many world’s main AI firms, additionally invested in SoundHound.

However What About Nvidia?

I wasn’t capable of dig up a complete lot of additional info on Nvidia’s funding. All I might discover was that Nvidia’s 13F assertion (launched on Feb. 14) disclosed a stake of 1.73 million shares.

However, I’d prefer to level out that Nvidia is price over $2 trillion and earned income of $61 billion in 2024. So, for a corporation of Nvidia’s dimension, a small stake in SoundHound is nearly a rounding error. You’d even be shocked by the dearth of due diligence that usually goes into offers like this. For instance, simply have a look at the startup, Theranos. 

Theranos was a biotech startup firm based by Elizabeth Holmes. It grew to a valuation of 9 billion earlier than traders realized that the corporate’s product (a house blood testing equipment) didn’t work. Elizabeth was capable of increase cash early on by tricking early traders after faking a product demo. Then, she was capable of increase further funds as a result of later traders simply assumed that another person had finished the due diligence. It’s a captivating story and there’s an amazing documentary of it on Hulu, referred to as The Dropout.

Now, I’m not saying that Nvidia did no due diligence on SoundHound. However, there’s an opportunity that they only positioned a handful of bets on firms working within the AI area, with out doing a lot due diligence. In any case, if the funding doesn’t work out then it received’t harm Nvidia in any respect. Nvidia may’ve additionally had a strategic purpose to spend money on SoundHound, like gaining access to its tech.

Both manner, the underside line is that you just shouldn’t purchase SoundHound simply because Nvidia did.

SoundHound’s Damaged Enterprise Mannequin

Even when we put the accounting sketchiness to the facet, there’s yet another obvious challenge with SoundHound: it has a damaged enterprise mannequin.

SoundHound makes most of its cash (which isn’t a lot) from voice assistants. So, first off, it already has to compete with Google Voice (Nasdaq: GOOGL) and Amazon Alexa (Nasdaq: AMZN). Robust competitors. However, even when we assume that SoundHound has a superior product, the voice assistant area is notoriously unprofitable. 

Though the tech works amazingly, Amazon has described its Alexa product as a “colossal failure.” Amazon reported that Alexa misplaced as much as $10 billion in some years. In actual fact, the Every little thing Retailer not too long ago introduced huge layoffs in its Alexa division. So, if Amazon isn’t making any cash in voice assistants then I can’t think about that SoundHound is.

Ought to You Purchase SOUN Inventory?

I wouldn’t. Even when Capybara’s quick report is mistaken in some areas, it’s a easy incontrovertible fact that SoundHound has been shedding cash for over a decade. Plus, there’s the truth that voice assistants are extensively unprofitable. When you think about that SoundHound additionally probably makes use of sketchy accounting practices, SOUN inventory simply isn’t well worth the threat.

Fortuitously, there are many different AI firms on the market which can be rather more thrilling.

Disclaimer: This text is for normal informational and academic functions solely. It shouldn’t be construed as monetary recommendation because the creator, Ted Stavetski, will not be a monetary advisor.